PAA 2008
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Session 101:
Advances in Fertility Metrics and Models

Friday, April 18
12:30 PM - 2:20 PM
Napoleon B2
3rd floor
Chair: Sam Preston, University of Pennsylvania
Discussant: John Bongaarts, Population Council

1. A Model for Cohort Fertility Schedules in Low and Moderate Fertility Populations  •  Joshua R. Goldstein, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

2. Assessing Uncertainty in Fertility Estimates and Projections  •  Leontine Alkema, University of Washington; Adrian Raftery, University of Washington; Patrick Gerland, United Nations; Samuel J. Clark, University of Washington; François Pelletier, United Nations

3. Why Kids Today?: Evidence on the Old-Age Security Motive from the Italian Pension Reform  •  Francesco C. Billari, Università Bocconi; Vincenzo Galasso, Università Bocconi

4. Should the Total Fertility Rate Still Be Used in Policy Discussions?: Assessing the Appropriateness of the TFR when Studying the Presumed Need for and Effectiveness of Birth Enhancing Policies in Europe  •  Wolfgang Lutz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); Tomas Sobotka, Vienna Institute of Demography

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